This is a development in the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, which seems to be escalating. The move that could be implied in the proposal submitted by the former advisers of President Trump could pose a new perspective on the war in the United States.
These three core components – a conditional ceasefire that assumes the existing frontline, threats to pour more military and other support to Ukraine in case of no negotiation by Russia, and signs of possible delay on the question of Ukraine joining NATO- is a departure from the nearly total support of Ukraine by Biden administration and its aim to drive Russia out of Ukraine.
It may also provoke strong resistance from the European counterparts of America, as well as various wings of Trump’s Republicans who may regard it as too conciliatory to Russia. Nevertheless, the Kremlin started secession discussions, so there can be a possibility of entering the negotiating process.
Therefore, the ability to succeed or fail within this context will depend on political winds prevalent in the run-up to the 2024 U.S. electoral season. If Trump succeeds in securing this plan in case of the victory, then the conflict’s course will be significantly altered.
On the other hand, due to the Biden administration’s extent of support to Ukraine, chances of implementing this recommendation are unlikely shortly.
This is more ambiguous but states that it is a multifaceted issue that matters to all. The fighting around the topic of Ukraine’s war will become even more pronounced in the next few months or years.
That is why it will be important to track future developments and consider many strategic and geopolitical factors as this situation transpires.
